Retired British soldier’s robberyA man known to authorities as “Quarters” of West Ruimveldt Housing Scheme, Georgetown, who wasRetired British soldier Edward Constantimplicated with the brazen daylight robbery committed on retired British soldier Edward Constant was positively identified by the ex-soldier during an Identification Parade at the Brickdam Police Station on Wednesday.He was accused of relieving Constant of his jewellery and cash on Monday in the vicinity of the Stabroek Market Square. According to reports received, the man was arrested and placed on an ID parade where he was picked out by the soldier who congratulated the Guyana Police Force for their proactive work.Constant returned to Guyana after 50 years to be a part of Guyana independence anniversary celebrations. Constant was a part of the British Army when Guyana gained its independence status and had promised to return when Guyana turned 50.Although he would have received VIP treatment during the celebration, his vacation turned bitter when he decided to visit the Stabroek Market Square. While there, he was attached and robbed by an armed man, who took away the gold chain and a diamond ring he was wearing at the time.It was reported that the retired soldier was attacked from behind. The Police were summoned and an investigation was launched. Based on Police intelligence, the attacker was later identified as “Quarters” of West Riumveldt Housing Scheme.However, Police visited the home of the wanted man but came up empty handed. Nevertheless, they continued to search and based on information received, he was finally arrested on Wednesday morning.
OVER 600 people packed into the Mount Errigal Hotel last night for a tribute night in memory of the late Manus Kelly.Pictures by Brian McDaidThe Glenswilly man died tragically in June while competing at the 2019 Donegal International Rally – an event he had won in each of the previous three years. Manus had so many strings to his bow, from his family, to politics, to rallying, Gaelic football, business and life in general.It was in rallying circles where he was best known. Many competitors and friends turned out to pay their tributes on what was an emotional night of reflection.The father-of-five was a newly elected Fianna Fáil County Councillor at the time of his death. Leas-Cheann Comhairle Pat ‘The Cope’ Gallagher and Charlie McConalogue TD led a large Fianna Fáil representation on the night, with several County Councillors also present.Ballyshannon native Sean Perry conducted a public auction with 13 items raising in excess of €70,000. A silent auction took place online at the same time and also proved a huge success. Denis Ferry and his son, Matthew, traveled the length and breadth of Ireland getting a shirt signed by all previous winners of the Donegal International and the item raised €12,000 last week in New York.A Memorial Trust has been established in Manus’s honour.“Our goals are to keep Manus’ legacy and memory alive, and also to assist Manus’s wife Bernie and their children in their future, which is what was at the heart of what Manus lived for,” the Trust says.The proceeds raised will have a phased distribution and the Trust has four trustees – Donall Barrett, Paul Doyle, Seamus Doherty and Damian Doherty.Anne Mc Fadden and Roseleen ConnellyPaddy O’Donnell with Bernie and son Manus at on of Manus’ first rally car which was on show tonight at the Mt Errigal Hotel.Cllr Martin Mc Dermott, Cllr Rena Donaghey, Charlie Mc Conalouge T.D. Cllr Davy Mc Dermott with Susan and John Byrne.Bernie Kelly arriving at the Mt. Errigal with her son Manus as they are greeted by Terry Mc EniffDrew and Andrew Russel at the tribute night for Manus Kelly.Donal Barrett with Seamus and Anne Neely.Paddy O’Donnell with Bernie and son Manus at on of Manus’ first rally car which was on show tonight at the Mt Errigal Hotel.Bernadette and Kelvin Keys and Dervala LaffertyJackie Callaghan, Cllr Noreen Mc Garvey, Ann Gallagher , Pat the Cope Gallagher T.D., Charlie Kelly and Gerard Callaghan.Jannie McDaid, Kelvin and Bernadette Keys Brenda Lynch and Conor Mc ClaffertyThe late Manus Kelly family at the tribute night including Donal and Jacquline sisters Breigeen, Kelda, Ciara and Shannagh brothers Donal, Caolan, Teigharan and Leon. Photo Brian McDaidEddie Fries who travelled home from New York for the tribute evening for Manus Kelly pictured with the Mayor of Donegal Nicholas Crossan and his wife Rosemary.Donal Barrett with Declan Boyle and Andrew Nesbitt at the Manus Kelly tribute evening.Donal Barrett with Seamus and Anne Neely.Meave and Seamus Mc Laughlin at the Manus Kelly night.Damien and Olive Daly at the function.Seamus Hegarty , Declan. Boyle and Conor Curley .Donnagh Kelly Conor Foley and Andrew Nesbitt at the Manus Kelly ni,ght.Copper Mc Fadden Neil Gallagher , Lee Gildea and Paul RodgersMichael and Mary Black with Garry Mc Elhinney and Pauric Mc Ginley.Ann and Tony Kelly with Alan TyndallCharlie Kelly pictured with Garry and Kerry Jennings at the Mt. Errigal Hotel.Bridie and Tommy Keys and Bridie ConboyAustin Mc Hale, Garry Jennings , Tim Mc Nulty, Gareth Mc Hale and Arron Mc Hale.Dermott and Eileen Mc Gettighan , Cathal and Dale mc Gettigan at the Mt Errigal.Picture special: Hundreds turn out for Manus Kelly Tribute Night was last modified: November 24th, 2019 by Chris McNultyShare this:Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to share on Pocket (Opens in new window)Click to share on Telegram (Opens in new window)Click to share on WhatsApp (Opens in new window)Click to share on Skype (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window)
OAKLAND – Beyond their star power, the Warriors live by the creed “Strength in Numbers.” When it comes to their wing position, though, the Warriors neither have strength nor numbers.Where they lack in strength: the Warriors (1-0) listed veteran Andre Iguodala as questionable for Friday’s game in Utah (1-0) after missing Thursday’s practice because of left calf tightness. He also skipped the second half of the Warriors’ season-opening win over Oklahoma City on Tuesday for precautionary …
South Africa’s fish stocks are recovering,thanks to the vigilance of consumers, theeffectiveness of programmes such asSASSI, and the cooperation of thefishing industry.(Image: Janine Erasmus) The seafood pocker guide is availablefor download in a handy size.(Image: SASSI) Conservation information on a range ofSouth African and imported fish speciesis instantly available via mobile phone –simply send a text to 079 499 8795.(Image: Jaco Badenhorst)MEDIA CONTACTS • Carolyn CramerMedia relations manager, WWF South Africa+27 21 888 2800 ext 892RELATED ARTICLES• Looking out for SA’s sea life• SA protects its oceans• SA gets new coastal conservancy• SA biologist wins thesis award• Research centre for African oceansWilma den HartighThanks to South African consumers, the demand for over-exploited fish stocks is declining.Increasing consumer pressure on seafood retailers to stock sustainably harvested fish and support eco-friendly fishing methods have caused stocks of species such as kingklip to show signs of recovery.The Southern African Sustainable Seafood Initiative (SASSI) was launched six years ago to involve the entire seafood supply chain, including consumers, in creating a sustainable seafood industry.Today this initiative has proven to be a highly successful South African consumer campaign. The ocean has often been viewed as an “infinite resource”, but buy-in from the public is helping to correct this perception.Janine Basson from the Sustainable Fisheries Programme (SFP): Fisher and Consumer Outreach, says the SASSI programme has been so successful to date because consumers feel empowered. Their choices can drive positive change towards the recovery of fish stocks.“Consumers are given the opportunity to make informed choices when choosing which seafood to buy and eat. People want to be part of the solution to overfishing, and SASSI is a tool that allows them to do that,” Basson says.There are other seafood campaigns globally that are doing similar work. However, Basson says the major difference is that other international programmes do not partner with seafood industry players, whereas the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) South Africa is partnering with industry. This is a key strength of the programme.Finding solutions togetherA number of programmes are jointly finding solutions to the problem of overfishing and declining fish stocks. The SFP forms part of the WWF Sanlam Living Waters partnership, an initiative to promote marine conservation in South Africa.The SFP works across the seafood supply chain to address ecosystem overexploitation. It contributes to two of the partnership’s targets for the marine sector – firstly, to apply an ecosystem approach to fisheries in South Africa and reduce the impacts of destructive fishing practices to acceptable levels.Its other goal is to restore at least half of over-exploited fish stocks to sustainably managed levels, while still maintaining or improving the state of other stocks.The SFP aims to meet these targets through activities that focus on how fish are caught and traded. The Responsible Fisheries Programme works directly with the fishing industry and resource management and addresses how fish are caught. SASSI focuses on the trading aspect, which involves retailers, restaurants, chefs and consumers.Consumers are asking the right questionsDr Samantha Petersen, project manager of the SFP, said in a statement that consumers must continue asking restaurants and retailers if they serve or sell sustainably harvested fish and seafood.Some fishing and seafood farming methods pose more harm to the environment than others. For instance, Basson says, line- or pole-caught methods are relatively selective and don’t kill unintended species such as seabirds and sharks.Although some forms of seafood farming can reduce pressure on overexploited wild stocks, this is only the case if wild fish don’t have to be fed to farmed fish, or if the production method doesn’t further degrade the environment.Consumers must not hesitate to ask in-depth questions about seafood and find out what they are buying or eating, where it comes from and how it was caught. Research indicates that positive changes at sea have predominantly resulted from consumer queries.“One consumer who asks questions about the sustainability of their seafood is likely to have a bigger influence than 100 who simply make a green choice without telling the restaurant or retailer why,” Basson says.Major success has also been achieved with SASSI’s progressive consumer tools. The SASSI Consumer Pocket Guide, originally drafted in 2005, uses a three-level colour classification to rate fish. Green indicates best choice while orange suggests caution and red means the species is illegal or classified as a “no sale species”.Certain species such as tuna were categorised in the green group, but this did not take the fishing method into account. The original red group only included the species that are prohibited from being sold by law.The new and updated SASSI list includes a revision of a number of species included on the original list. The new red group lists unsustainable species along with those that are illegal to sell in South Africa.Basson says the original list excluded important imported and aquaculture species, but the updated version includes a selection of these species.“This was becoming an increasingly pressing need due to the growing South African aquaculture industry,” she says.The pocket-sized version of the SASSI list may be downloaded (PDF, 1.25MB)The SASSI programme’s prominent online presence has also made it easy for consumers to participate. Consumers can obtain the most up-to-date information at any time on the SASSI website, FishMS and mobi site. The FishMS service allows consumers to access the SASSI seafood database from any mobile phone. Consumers can send a text message to the number 079 499 8795 to find out whether a particular species is on the red, orange or green list.According to Petersen the response from wholesalers and retailers to consumer pressure has also been encouraging. A growing number of participants at this end of the value chain are actively involved with the SFP. Quarterly assessments are carried out with each partner to evaluate their seafood procurement process and raise awareness amongst staff.The programme is working with 11 of the biggest seafood suppliers in South Africa (such as Aquatic Foods and Fish On Line), the large retailers (Pick n Pay, Woolworths, Spar) and popular restaurant chains such as John Dory’s and Ocean Basket. Offshore and inshore commercial industry players, such as I&J and Sea Harvest, are also involved.Fish stocks are recoveringPetersen said in a statement that kingklip stocks almost collapsed a few years ago. However, because of consumer pressure many restaurants stopped offering it on the menu and retailers no longer kept it in stock. Catch limits were also introduced and the kingklip spawning site near Port Elizabeth in the Eastern Cape was placed under protection. “I really hope to see kingklip on the green list one day soon.”Basson says that some of South Africa’s linefish species are also showing signs of recovery. For example, red roman, a member of the seabream family, is a popular linefish species that is endemic to Southern Africa. It is a reef-associated species with a relatively narrow distribution from Namibia to the Eastern Cape.She says it is a slow growth species – a 40cm fish could be as old as 40 years. They achieve late sexual maturity and change sex from female to male as they mature. These factors make them highly vulnerable to overfishing.Red roman stocks are in urgent need of rebuilding as they have almost disappeared in some areas such as False Bay on the southern Cape coast.However, she says that there is evidence of recovery within Marine Protected Areas (MPA) along the coast. Research has shown a 90% increase in catches of red roman within the Goukamma MPA. Goukamma is situated on the Garden Route on the Cape South Coast. The exclusion of fishing boats from Goukamma has also been beneficial.“Although much remains to be done to get the red roman stock back to its former glory, this still indicates the tremendous value of MPAs in rebuilding the breeding stock of important over-exploited linefish species,” says Basson.SA consumers are more environment awareConsumers are becoming more aware of issues affecting the environment.“South African consumers are one of the main reasons why SASSI has been so successful and why we have seen some of our fish species recover,” Basson says.Another success story is that of the South African hake trawl fishery. Significant progress has been made in the management of the hake resource, as a result of both Marine Stewardship Council certification and consumer pressure. If consumers continue to ask questions, it will have major positive impacts for the entire seafood industry.
This article is only available to GBA Prime Members LAS VEGAS, NV — Wandering the trade show floor at the International Builders’ Show in Las Vegas today, I stumbled upon several intriguing new products. Here are four of them.Serious Energy, a window manufacturer that recently acquired Alpen Windows, has made several improvements to Alpen’s line of windows with pultruded fiberglass frames. Windows from Serious Energy (formerly known as Serious Materials) are available with Heat Mirror glazing from Southwall Technologies.If you choose Serious Energy’s 1125 glazing — a Heat Mirror product that amounts to quintuple glazing (two layers of glass and three layers of mylar film with low-e coatings) — you end up with an amazingly low whole-window U-factor somewhere between 0.08 and 0.09 (equivalent to R-11). Serious Energy has obtained NFRC ratings on all of their Heat Mirror windows. Plan on spending at least $1,000 for a casement window with 1125 glazing.American Aldes (www.americanaldes.com) has a new series of supply ventilation fans and exhaust ventilation fans called the Ventergy series. All Ventergy fans meet Energy Star requirements. The fans can be ordered to meet precise ASHRAE 62.2 ventilation requirements for a specific home; each fan is delivered with plastic flow control valves — constant airflow regulators — to deliver the required airflow.Sanyo (www.sanyo.com/solar) is now selling a new two-directional photovoltaic module, the HIT Double. The translucent PV panels are usually used for solar awnings and shade structures. HIT Double modules generate electricity on both sides; most of the power is generated on the side facing the sun, but a small amount of additional power is generated from light bouncing off pavement and hitting the underside of the panels.A manufacturer of insulated concrete forms (ICFs) called Logix manufactures a line of ICFs (the XRV line) with high R-values. The XRV forms can be ordered with the following foam thicknesses:… Start Free Trial Already a member? Log in Sign up for a free trial and get instant access to this article as well as GBA’s complete library of premium articles and construction details.
BSP sees higher prices in November, but expects stronger peso, low rice costs to put up fight E.T. returns to earth, reunites with grown-up Elliott in new ad Other winners were Myra Cruz (bronze 60 to 69 women’s epee), and Lenita Otadoy (bronze, 35-49 women’s saber).The ladies’ saber team also captured a dramatic gold medal after one member had to check out of the hospital to play in the event. The team was made up of past SEA games medalists Aurea Dioquino, Lenny Otadoy and Bevery Alarcon.FEATURED STORIESSPORTSWATCH: Drones light up sky in final leg of SEA Games torch runSPORTSSEA Games: Philippines picks up 1st win in men’s water poloSPORTSMalditas save PH from shutout LATEST STORIES Nonong Araneta re-elected as PFF president Reynaldo Navarro wins the gold. CONTRIBUTED PHOTOThe Philippines put up a strong stand in the recent Asian Veterans Fencing Championship in Thailand, with Reynaldo Navarro bagging a gold in the men’s 50 to 59 saber competition.Former Philippine Olympic Committee president Celso Dayrit won a bronze in the men’s 60 t0 69 epee while three-time Southeast Asian Games gold medalist Maria Leonor Estampador topped the 50 to 59 women’s foil.ADVERTISEMENT Frontrow holds fun run to raise funds for young cancer patients View comments LOOK: Loisa Andalio, Ronnie Alonte unwind in Amanpulo for 3rd anniversary Fire hits houses in Mandaluyong City Rain or Shine continues chase for top 4, downs Blackwater World-class track facilities installed at NCC for SEA Games PLAY LIST 02:49World-class track facilities installed at NCC for SEA Games03:07PH billiards team upbeat about gold medal chances in SEA Games01:50Palace defends Duterte’s absences from Asean events01:37Protesters burn down Iran consulate in Najaf01:47Panelo casts doubts on Robredo’s drug war ‘discoveries’01:29Police teams find crossbows, bows in HK university01:35Panelo suggests discounted SEA Games tickets for students02:49Robredo: True leaders perform well despite having ‘uninspiring’ boss02:42PH underwater hockey team aims to make waves in SEA Games Brace for potentially devastating typhoon approaching PH – NDRRMC Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. MOST READ Read Next Kammuri turning to super typhoon less likely but possible — Pagasa
About the authorCarlos VolcanoShare the loveHave your say FIGC president Gravina open to suspending Serie A after San Siro incidentsby Carlos Volcano10 months agoSend to a friendShare the loveFIGC president Gabriele Gravina admits Serie A could be suspended after shocking incidents around Inter Milan’s win over Napoli.Inter’s 1-0 win against Napoli was marred by four fans being stabbed outside San Siro, one dying from a collision with a van and Kalidou Koulibaly receiving racist abuse from Nerazzurri supporters.“It’s something we’ll consider,” Gravina told Il Messaggero.“Now we need to take a moment and coordinate ourselves: we have a problem of public order and as such it must be managed, as well as the fact of playing or not.“I’m worried about this surreal climate. I’m not a psychologist, but it’s clear that some of the players were very nervous at San Siro.“Right now I’m in a period of reflection because what happened was very serious. We’ll hear from the ministry and CONI and then we’ll decide.“We’re verifying whether there were three calls and no stop, but it seems only one was made. Today the prosecutor will intervene and say his piece, but what happened was very bad.“The players were too nervous on the field. The referee will write what he thought, but if he made some mistakes then he’ll also be looked at.”
Big 12.The Big 12 dropped some interesting news Friday, announcing that starting in 2017, the league will bring back a conference championship game, despite the fact that it is staying at 10 schools. It was also announced by commissioner Bob Bowlsby that the league is considering moving to two five-team divisions and keeping its round robin scheduling. If you’re thinking that doesn’t make a ton of sense – you aren’t alone. College football fans and analysts are mocking the league for what seems like a pointless exercise. Why have divisions if you already play every other team? Couldn’t that potentially leave the league without its two best teams in the title game?What’s the point of divisions if doing round-robin? The Big 12 is clueless https://t.co/En2GE7PZ9D— Jason Brown (@JasonBrown96) June 3, 2016“two five team divisions”One one hand, that’s dumb.On the other hand, the Big 12 East featuring WVU, ISU, Kansas, KSU, and someone.— Smoking Musket (@SmokingMusket) June 3, 2016So the Big 12 is going to five-team divisions. What is the point if the league is still playing a round-robin schedule?— Bobby La Gesse (@BobbyLaGesse) June 3, 2016If the Big 12 is going to have divisions, here’s how I recommend splitting the teams. pic.twitter.com/AYwXG73eeE— Tom Fornelli (@TomFornelli) June 3, 2016“Sorry, TCU, we know you and OU both finished 8-1 in our round robin, but 6-3 WVU is going to the title game b/c they’re further north.”— Bill Connelly (@SBN_BillC) June 3, 2016Entire idea of a championship game was because all teams did not play each other in bloated leagues..— Doug Gottlieb (@GottliebShow) June 3, 2016Love that the Big 12 is switching from round robin to two 5-team divisions with 5 crossover games.— Ben Swain (@TheBenSwain) June 3, 2016The only thing that will make the Big 12’s potential 5-team divisions better is to name them Leaders and Legends— Matt Brown (@MattBrownCFB) June 3, [email protected] axis and allies— Eric Edholm (@Eric_Edholm) June 3, 2016We’ll see if the Big 12 changes its mind. This likely isn’t the last we hear on this topic.
Week 8 of the NFL season was rough for the Carolina Panthers. On Sunday, they squandered a chance to steal a win against the suddenly vulnerable Seattle Seahawks, losing 13-9 at home. That night, the Saints — Carolina’s only NFC South rival of consequence — routed the Green Bay Packers 44-23. The Panthers’ lead in the NFC South is now so small it actually takes some arithmetic to determine that their 3-4-1 record is superior to the Saints’ 3-4 mark.Going into Week 8, we estimated the Panthers’ playoff probability to be 55 percent.1As a reminder, playoff probabilities for this article are derived from a betting-market-based ranking system that is separate from FiveThirtyEight’s Elo-based playoff probabilities. In the case of the Panthers, the estimates did not differ much, with the Elo rankings giving Carolina a 60 percent chance of making the playoffs. But with our latest simulations, that number has tumbled to 30 percent. Only about half of this drop can be attributed to game outcomes and resulting win-loss-tie records. The remainder of it is due to an update to the rankings (derived from Vegas point spreads), which has widened the gulf between the Panthers and the Saints.But this week, the Panthers have an opportunity to claw back some of their losses. On Thursday night, they host the Saints at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. As you can see in the above charts, the Saints and Panthers each have 32 percentage points of playoff probability riding on this game. This is a remarkably large number at the midpoint of the season.Several factors have combined to make this game a perfect storm of playoff implications. First, the Panthers’ tie game against the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 6 renders the divisional tiebreakers moot, removing a layer of uncertainty from our projections and throwing the playoff implications into starker relief. The NFC South also exists in its own playoff bubble, quarantined from the rest of the NFC (see the NFC chart above — the South is surrounded by a healthy buffer of gray cells). The second-best team from the NFC South is unlikely to contend for one of the two wild card seeds, making playoff probability synonymous with division title probability. With fewer teams with which to exchange playoff probabilities, the amount of each weekly probability “swap” becomes that much larger. And finally, the Panthers and Saints go into Thursday night’s game with near-identical records, thus the winner will emerge with sole possession of the lead in the NFC South.In the AFC, the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens in the North is similar. It’s also a divisional matchup with significant implications for the participating teams, and little to no consequence for the rest of the league.At the opposite end of the spectrum, we have Sunday’s game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Houston Texans. This game features a total playoff swing of 73 percentage points split among 19 NFL teams. More than half the league has a rooting interest in the outcome. As one would expect, AFC teams do better with a Houston loss and NFC teams do better with a Philadelphia loss. Somewhat surprisingly, the Dallas Cowboys’ playoff hopes only swing by a relatively small amount, despite being in a tight race with the Eagles for the NFC East title. The reason for the relatively low stakes is that a win by the Eagles largely trades division title probability for wild card probability. An Eagles win would drop the Cowboys’ division title chances from 48 percent to 42 percent, but their wild card outlook would increase from 30 percent to 34 percent, resulting in a net playoff loss of only 2 percentage points.The most anticipated game of the week figures to be Sunday’s matchup between the Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots. But in terms of playoff implications, the latest iteration of the Brady-Manning rivalry ranks fairly low. The Broncos are a virtual lock for the playoffs in our simulations. A loss to New England would be but a scratch, dropping their playoff prospects from 99 percent to 98 percent. The stakes are higher for the Patriots but far from make or break. A loss would drop their playoff chances from 79 percent to 73 percent.This game does have a significant impact on the race for the top playoff seed in the AFC. Going into Week 9, the Broncos are the clear favorite, with a 79 percent chance of winning the No. 1 seed. If New England is able to pull off a victory at home, the race opens up considerably. The Broncos’ chances drop to 59 percent, with the benefit largely accruing to the Patriots: The Patriots’ top-seed probability would increase from 9 percent to 21 percent. And because the first tiebreaker used is head-to-head matchups, a win against the Broncos is worth two games to the Patriots.A New England victory would also increase the Colts’ chances from 4 percent to 7 percent. The Colts opened the season with a loss to the Broncos, thus the head-to-head tiebreaker works against them here. The chart below summarizes the anticipated top-seed probabilities under both outcomes of the Denver-New England matchup.Our game summary table features some new columns this week. Each game’s impact to the finer points of playoff seeding is also assessed and summarized. The Ravens-Steelers game has the largest impact on division title probabilities (seeds No. 1 through 4). The Cardinals-Cowboys game is most consequential for which teams qualify for a first-round bye (seeds No. 1 and 2). And as we have already called out, the Broncos-Patriots game has the largest impact on which team gets the top conference playoff seed. NFL Playoff Implications, our weekly guide to what games matter, and whom they matter to, returns for Week 9 of the NFL season. For an explanation of the methodology, see here. The rankings behind these probabilities can be found here, at the co-author’s blog.
POINT DIFFERENTIAL PER 100 POSSESSIONS 2010-11Miami8.57.3 SEASONTEAMFULL SEASONAFTER ALL-STAR BREAK 2013-14Miami6.15.8 2014-15Cleveland3.76.9 2016-17Cleveland2.8-2.8 2012-13Miami9.911.9 2015-16Cleveland5.85.9 2011-12Miami7.23.0 After making six straight NBA Finals, LeBron James and his teams have earned the benefit of the doubt when they hit a rough patch. His Heat and Cavaliers teams have shown they can turn things around in a hurry, almost as if all they needed to do is flip a switch to revert to their dominant selves.But, my, what a rough patch they’re in. The club, which entered Thursday in a virtual tie with Boston for first place in the East, has dropped 10 of its last 17 games. Six of those defeats have been by double digits, including each of their last four1The team’s Big Three missed two of those five shellackings, while only Kyrie Irving played in a blowout loss against the Bulls back on Feb. 25.. Perhaps most troubling: The team’s defense has been the NBA’s worst throughout the month of March, which is saying a lot, given how many teams aren’t really trying to win anymore.It’s becoming harder and harder to ignore what Cleveland’s play might mean for the Cavs’ chances of repeating as champs. This may be the weakest LeBron team we’ve seen this late in a season since his finals streak began in 2011. Our NBA win prediction model gives Cleveland a 2 percent chance of winning it all, less than teams such as Boston, Washington and Toronto.2This is noteworthy since the Celtics are virtually tied for first with the Cavs, while the Wizards and Raptors are currently behind Cleveland in the standings. And while that seems surprising, it shouldn’t be: Cleveland’s recent struggles are testing the limits of how strong a team’s defense needs to be to win a championship.At the moment, the Cavaliers are tied for 22nd in defensive efficiency, a mark that would rank as the worst among any team that’s reached the finals in modern history.3The Cavs managed to reach the finals two seasons ago with the 20th-ranked defense. But they improved considerably at that end of the floor after making midseason trades for wing stopper Iman Shumpert and center Timofey Mozgov.There are several reasons the Cavs aren’t good defenders. Unlike much of the Big Three era in Miami, where players had the athleticism and smarts to fly around and cause havoc on defense, Cleveland is slow footed. Some of that is a function of the Cavs’ roster being long in the tooth; six members of the rotation are at least 31 years old. Other times, it looks as if players aren’t hustling, which partly explains why the club ranks dead last in transition defense, according to Synergy Sports. The Cavs also really struggle to keep the ball in front of them, and are tied for worst in the league at containing pick-and-roll ballhandlers.As the Cavs seek to work out their kinks, opponents have found that they can often generate fantastic looks against Cleveland with minimal effort and ball movement. Last year the club was pretty solid — 12th best in the NBA — at forcing foes to use nearly all of the shot clock. This season, Cleveland is tied for last in the NBA in terms of how often it forces clubs to use the final four seconds of the shot clock. (That lack of pressure also speaks to how seldom the Cavs force their opponents into turnovers compared with the rest of the league.)Video Playerhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/loveinbetween.mp400:0000:0000:00Use Up/Down Arrow keys to increase or decrease volume.Video Playerhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/lackofattntodetail.mp400:0000:0000:00Use Up/Down Arrow keys to increase or decrease volume.Still, context for the Cavs’ struggles is important. Yes, the team looks mediocre and is in real jeopardy of finishing with the No. 2 seed, or worse, in the East. But James hasn’t really needed the top seed to make the finals over these past six years; in four of those seasons, his team finished in second place before going on to win the East anyway.4Looking at this season’s contenders in the East, these teams don’t really stand out as extraordinary compared with what James has seen in the past; at least not when gauging their point-differential strength against teams the four-time MVP has faced in the playoffs before.“It matters more that we’re playing better basketball than where we’re at,” James told reporters after a 29-point loss in San Antonio this week. “If that results in us having the No. 1 seed, the No. 2 seed, 3 or whatever the hell it is, we need to play better basketball. That’s what it comes down to.”Most clubs would gladly take Cleveland’s problems, given that the Cavs — for all their struggles — have continued to boast a top-flight offense, scoring 110 points per 100 plays (eighth best) over this 17-game span. Coach Tyronn Lue, in a somewhat odd comment, said he has a potential antidote for the team’s defensive woes but that he doesn’t want to unveil it until the postseason begins. (Making the comment even odder: Lue also said he’s not necessarily confident the fix will work.)Yet there are a couple of warning signals worth noting as the Cavs hit the homestretch that simply weren’t there in years past. No James-led team the past six seasons has finished the second half of the season with a negative point differential per 100 possessions, but this one is on the cusp of doing so. Cleveland, with nine games left in its season, is getting outscored by 2.8 points per 100 plays since the All-Star break. Love’s defense has also regressed. It had improved a bit during the first half of the season, but now looks problematic again since he returned from an injury. The Cavs, who were 4.5 points better than normal when Love and James shared the court before Love got injured, have been 24 points worse per 100 plays when that duo plays together since Love came back. And much of that decline is on the defensive end; particularly when offenses find ways to pull Tristan Thompson out of the paint in hopes of punishing Love in the middle of the floor, with no one to guard the basket.Video Playerhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/backdoorplay.mp400:0000:0000:00Use Up/Down Arrow keys to increase or decrease volume.Video Playerhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/cavsmiscommunication1.mp400:0000:0000:00Use Up/Down Arrow keys to increase or decrease volume.Defensive rebounding is the other area that’s marked a clear difference from last year. Cleveland ranked fifth in defensive-rebounding percentage last year but now is tied for 24th; a decrease due in part to Thompson’s full-time shift to the center position, where he’s been tasked with increased rim-protection responsibility as opposed to just gobbling up misses.5Advanced tracking statistics suggest that Thompson has held his own defensively at the rim this season. The 26-year-old has held foes to 52 percent from close range, 9 points beneath their average marks, good for seventh best in the NBA among players who’ve had to defend at least four shots per game from within six feet.Video Playerhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/thompsonrebound.mp400:0000:0000:07Use Up/Down Arrow keys to increase or decrease volume.As such, the Cavaliers aren’t the stingy team they once were. Last season, they allowed the third-fewest second-chance points; now they’re the NBA’s sixth-weakest team in that regard. The Cavaliers have enough problems when they limit opponents to one shot, let alone two or three.But how much of the Cavs’ defensive struggles will matter come June? Knowing what we know about LeBron’s ability to flip the switch, analyzing the Cavs’ late-season struggles this closely may prove to be silly. But if the Cavs do indeed fail to reach the finals, there will have been at least some writing on the wall from earlier in the season. Is it time for LeBron and the Cavaliers to hit the panic button? *The amount of points a team outscores its opponent by over a span of 100 playsSource: NBA.com